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Twilight Signs

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Christian Serratos of "Twilight" signs autographs for fans at a Peta event in Los Angeles

Charting the Climb: What Makes a Trend? (SociologicalImagesSeeingIsBelieving)

_Cross-posted at Montclair SocioBlog._

Isabella was the second most popular name for baby girls last year.  She had
been number one for two years but was edged out by Sohpia.  Twenty-five years
ago Isabella was not in the top thousand.

How does popularity happen?  Gabriel Rossman’s new book _Climbing the Charts:
What Radio Airplay Tells Us about the Diffusion of Innovation _offers two
models.*   People’s decisions -- what to name the baby, what songs to put on
your station’s playlist (if you’re a programmer), what movie to go see, what
style of pants to buy --  can be affected by others in the same position.
Popularity can spread seemingly on its own, affected only by the consumers
themselves communicating with one another person-to-person by word of mouth.
But our decisions can also be influenced by people outside those consumer
networks – the corporations or people produce and promote the stuff they want
us to pay attention to.

These outside “exogenous” forces tend to exert themselves suddenly, as when a
movie studio releases its big movie on a specified date, often after a big
advertising campaign.  The film does huge business in its opening week or two
but adds much ...


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